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The Blair Years (not)

19 - 11 - 2007
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Anthony Barnett (London, OK): My immediate reaction on watching the Blair Years on BBC1, scripted and presented by David Aaronovitch, was to feel slightly soiled, contaminated even, as if the mere act of my watching was a form of collaboration with the odious atmosphere of bad faith and dishonesty. The programme started and ended with clear falsehoods. The first, that the decision to make the Bank of England independent was in any way instigated by and belonged to Blair. The last, that Lebanon was just a minor background to a small rebellion of second-raters. Did I hear Aaronovitch say "he got into trouble over the Lebanon", as if in passing? In fact Blair's support for Israel's appalling invasion and then his slavish refusal to separate himself from Bush in any way and call for a cease-fire was a breaking point that ran through New Labour supporters as well as traditionalists. Thanks to Gordon's unhealthy desire for absolute unity, Blair got a generous farewell ticket which included no public recognition of the differences, no "throwing the saucepans" as Mandelson put it. More is the pity.

But on second thoughts, the fact that this film presented the case for Blair was very revealing indeed. Asked for his core purpose as a leader Blair told us,

"My single aim is for us as a country to understand the scale, intensity and speed of change."

What a load of bollocks.

But very revealing in the way only bollocks can be.

There is no such thing as "change" in the singular. Change is contradictory, irregular, not to speak of unequal, It can be emancipating as well as crushing. The role of a leader is to bring a country a view of how to understand change: what aspects of change to be with and what against, how to shape it and to what ends. It cannot be an "aim" simply to "understand sale, intensity and speed" - as if these qualities are in themselves its meaning.

However, they are the meaning of Blair. I have written before about Blair's personification of the media torrent, the great gushing, self-referential, narcissistic force that has become public consciousness.

For Blair right and wrong are forms of future and past, the ability to do something itself the justification of its rightness. At least Machiavelli argued that Princes had to do immoral things to achieve the virtue of success. For Blair if they succeed this means they cannot have been immoral.

With Tony Blair, the media torrent was in power. This is why he spent so many of his working hours talking with journalists and reporters or working on spin and presentation: the energy and the vacuousness are part of the same thing. If what he was attempting had had more weight he could never had had the energy for it. Lightness, speed an addiction to moving on, this was Blairism!

The second revelation was the utter personalisation of leadership now.  Never for a moment was there any sense that Blair led a team (see Peter Oborne's new column on this with respect to Brown). Or that he represented any kind of intellectual, cultural or political or even national tradition. This, of course, is an aspect of the media torrent. Everything is personalised, any force that might represent a fixed point of resistance is seen as 'old' or 'hidebound'.

Nothing was more out of date than the constitution as was. Right at the start, the film showed Robin Butler telling us how New Labour was a "revolutionary cell" made up of Blair and Brown. When he expressed a concern  that the decision to make the Bank of England independent was important enough to warrant a Cabinet decision because "we have Cabinet government in this country", Blair dismissed the idea. He justified this on the programme by saying that there could have been disagreements (there would have been) and leaks. It was a coup. The prime mover was surely Brown. But why didn't Robin Butler, as Cabinet Secretary, resign? Or speak up sooner and not wait until it no longer matters? Or raise it as a clear concern when he investigated the conduct of Iraq war decision taking and had the chance?

The uninterviewed ghost in the programme was the rotten old system too weak to resist, already mere flotsam and jetsam in the torrent. One felt it creaking in the furniture as John Birt described how he had plotted to break up the Treasury and create a presidential style Office of Budget Management rather than having a powerful finance ministry. It was a secret plan to smash Gordon if Blair had been able to win the 2005 election on his own steam. I doubt very much if that would have gone to the Cabinet either.

What are your responses to the programme? Did you feel, like me, 'what kind of a country could let itself be ruled in this way?'

 

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Guano (not verified) said:

Wed, 2007-11-21 14:25

A good post, Mr Barnett. A big problem with Blair has been his belief in change in the singular - such as modernisation, globalisation, everything changed on 9/11, forwards not backwards. Much that he tried to do has been justified by the need to change without leaving room for discussion on the complexities of phenomena such as globalisation or whether Blair's proposed response is actually the best response or a necessary response.

David Aaronovitch wrote a long column recently about the Iraq invasion, in which he reported on Blair's meeting with Chirac where Blair came out, rolled his eyes and said that Chirac didn't get it. The implication was that Chirac was in the past, Blair was up to date. Aaronovitch didn't mention what Chirac said at that meeting, which is now well-known: Chirac pointed out that starting a war is a risky business with the likelihood of unintended consequences. Chirac was right and Blair was wrong. Not everything changed on 9/11. War, even for the large USA military, still can have unintended consequences. Aggression is still aggression. International law still exists.

Guano (not verified) said:

Thu, 2007-11-22 12:03

I find it difficult to reply to "keeptonyblairforpm" because there are just too many loose ends in the argument for an amateur blogger like myself to answer. Let's just take one point:-

"He did NOT “want war”- and worked to the last minute to avoid it" This would seem to be the contradicted by the recent piece by Jonathan Powell in the observer and by the heading of the Times article of November 17th. It seems to be contradicted by Mr Aaronovitch's prasie for Blair "singling out Milosovic and Saddam" and by Mr Blair's frequent references to the use of the words "hard power". It is dificult to see how Tony Blair worked to avoid war if he was committed to supporting the Americans and the Americans had decided to go to war.

Guano (not verified) said:

Sat, 2007-11-24 11:06

I agree, Anthony, though I think that we have to be very careful about this idea of "regime change" even in the best of circumstances. I don;t think that we've thought through all its implications. The invasion has turned Iraq into a failed state because our political leadership has little idea of the importance of state and civil institutions and about how to develop them.

Gregg (not verified) said:

Thu, 2007-11-22 04:02

Given that it made the Northern Rock crisis more of a crisis than it needed to be, I should the notion that BoE independence was Mr. Blair's idea, was most likely to be propogated by Mr. Brown.

Ivor Cornish (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 15:45

Bile and b*ll*cks apart Blair should be judged on what he did when in office.

The falling support in the country, and amongst members of the Labour Party, whilst he remained in office was the verdict on that.

This offers a smidgen of hope to those of us that were always sceptical about his presentation, that the public will not again be so easily conned by image.

We now have to press for constraints to be put into place to constrain the cavalier behaviour of a future Blair.

Ivor Cornish (not verified) said:

Tue, 2007-11-20 11:29

Would someone please enlighten me as to why an actor's voice was used in the making of this program.

See this quote above:-

"I am flattered for my voice to confused with that of actor Matthew McFadyen"

The trailer for the program showed Aaronovitch in the usual interviewers mode sitting opposite Blair... most confusing.

Why did the program makers not use an interviewer who had no known support for Labour, one that could have perhaps put him 'on the ropes'.

ourkingdom (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 18:29

Thanks David,

I can think you are profoundly wrong and argue the point, it is not just hatred. I'm very glad you seem to accept this. My initial revulsion was as I say tempered by a second reflection.

To be clear, I am quite sure that the B of England was much more a Brown and Balls move than Blair's and I am stating that it was a falsehood to allow Blair to present it as his decision, presumably to accumulate legacy. In the Mail column that I link to Oborne - someone who Private Eye attacked as being pro-Brown - made the point that the head of a good team is generous with praise for others. For all his general compliments Blair never said "Gordon came up with this great policy and I supported it". The point being, in this instance, that it was not just giving independence to the Bank of England (which, incidentally I supported before it happened unlike most on the left) that mattered. It was also the way the Treasury kept control of setting the inflation rate target and the vital fact that the BofE committee was told its role was to ensure inflation was at least 2 per cent but not more than 2.5 per cent, and was not permitted to run an independent deflationary policy. Unlike the European central bank it was given control of the bathwater but not the baby. I am sure that if Blair had come up with such an adroit strategic policy we'd have read about his genius in Campell's diary.

On the Lebanon, the programme implied that the rebellion over Blair's action was not really decisive when it was. I was not saying that you said the Lebanon war itself was minor matter. Blair told us that he could have stayed on, but he couldn't have.

Anyway, if you think that what is wrong with my stuff is an assumption, no less, that any person I disagree with must "in some way be crooked" could I respectfully suggest you read a little more of OurKingdom (and openDemocracy) where your contribution will be welcomed.

And thank you very much for responding

Anthony

ourkingdom (not verified) said:

Tue, 2007-11-20 10:39

OK David,

I think you have lost the larger argument here, this being that the first episode of The Blair Years was a PR job on behalf of the ex-Prime Minister that did not get at the truth, but despite this, because it gave him so much rope to hang himself with, was helpfully revealing.

You have challenged me again on one point. It was an accusation of a falsehood, so fair enough but truth being many layered my answer will be a full - and I hope a final one.

Here is what I said, "The programme started and ended with clear falsehoods. The first, that the decision to make the Bank of England independent was in any way instigated by and belonged to Blair. The last, that Lebanon was just a minor background to a small rebellion of second-raters." I also said that programme was scripted and presented by you. It turns out that you did the interviews but not the voice over. You didn't "script it", but despite this you accept responsibility for what the film showed,

My objection was that the _programme_ (my emphasis) started with a falsehood. This is, then, directed at you it seems. Blair can make whatever claims he likes. My objection is that hese were accepted and presented unchallenged with respect to the Bank of England.

I will now slightly correct what I wrote: the decision on the Bank did in some way belong to Blair. (I have already said this but not as an explicit correction). But I stick to the main point the unchallenged impression the programme gave was false, namely that it was Blair's decision.

To write as you do that "stuff about inflation range is beside the point" is to fail to perceive the reality of politics.

But I don't want to go on too long. The programme was about Blair and Brown, who was the real power and shaper? Blair was doing the film in order to lay claim to his own importance. He didn't want to be seen as just the brilliant media front of New Labour. Now lots of big decisions were made and implemented at the start. In Scotland, Wales, London, the Human Rights Act. Britain was changed forever and for the better. They should have been brought together as a coherent new settlement. It was Blair's decision - I know this at first hand - not to do this.

Today he doesn't want to claim the constitutional reforms because it is too transparent that he inherited them. Among them was one decision not explicitly set out by John Smith, on the Bank of England. Furthermore, it helped create the framework for the economic growth that marked his premiership. So, now, he wants to claim this one as his own. Me Blair! I was farsighted. This is proof of my leadership qualities etc. Well, it is a false claim. Economic policy was Brown's. Brown led on the Bank of England. Not just 'the decision' on independence, but on how and what. It was Brown's call. Blair supported it. But to broadcast a programme that leaves the viewer with the impression that this was Blair's decision is to broadcast a falsehood.

You are always welcome

Anthony

David Aaronovitch (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 14:35

The writer is entitlled to marinate in his own bile, but a fact or two first. David Aaronovitch did not write the script, nor "present" the programme. Nor say anything about the Lebanon (that issue is dealt with in programme 3).

I have no idea about whether Blair thought of the Bof E idea first, but my guess is that neither does the author. It is also odd to flay a programme that also provided you with one of your own key arguments concerning the constitution.

But it's just hatred in the end, isn't it, hence the Oborne.

ourkingdom (not verified) said:

Fri, 2007-11-23 00:23

Thank you Guano. It is hard to know what to say to KeepTBforPM. You have put it well.

All I'd add as I have been asked personally a pretty insulting question if I wanted to take it that way, namely, "Has it ever crossed your mind that deciding NOT to go to war can also have “unintended consequences”? is that of course I know this.

For example, I felt I had to support the intervention in Kosovo and Afghanistan even knowing that they way they would be carried out by the US would be over-destructive and kill innocent people because given the situation action was required.

The real point here, is that you, KeepTBforPM, have become a sucker for Blair's personalisation of everything he does, as if his sincerity and intention are the criteria. We all wanted to get rid of Saddam H. This was not the way to do it. More important, it was a diversion from the actual confrontation needed with Bin Laden and gave him what he wanted. Blair was told this. He decided to back Bush whatever Bush did. Do I need to tell you this was a mistake? A bad mistake.

Anthony

leon (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 02:38

I forgot it was even one which speaks volumes about how important it was for me...

keeptonyblairforpm (not verified) said:

Wed, 2007-11-21 20:21

I suggest you read 'Blair Unbound' - Anthony Seldon - for some background into the heart-rending decision-making processes that were gone through before the Iraq invasion - and not just by Blair. I'm only part-way in, but it IS intriguing.

The "unintended consequences" WERE in the minds, certainly of Blair and the British. According to this account, backed up by British diplomats in the USA, Bush was almost 'bounced' by his own right-wing, though he was much more FOR the whole business than was Blair.

It also looks as though Blair had decided that there was no way he/Britain would be labeled a "fair-weather- friend" to America. Whether he should have thought in that way, well ... that's still a debate. But I still wonder which other British leader would have done differently when push came to shove.

You'll find plenty of references in Seldon's book to what Chirac, Schroeder and other EU leaders said and thought.

After Chirac taking the high moral ground and insisting on the second resolution, he then spoke to Blair by phone and said there was "no possible second resolution" he could agree with (page 160 Seldon). His argument was that "war is bloody".

Er ... yes.

Accusing Blair, as some do, of ulterior motives, or dissembling or a warlust mentality is to miss the point.

He did NOT "want war"- and worked to the last minute to avoid it, knowing it could all go wrong. But if it came, he was with the Americans, partly because it would have been the first time in 50 years we'd have refused to be with them in a crisis.

His reference to "I supported the war" was simply that when it was inevitable and had started, he was fully committed. What else should he be?

Chirac got HIS OWN position right, that's all. He was not exactly truthful in saying that they needed a UN 2nd resolution, as though then he might comply; he would never have agreed. His was an anti-war (at any price) stand.

Hard to measure, of course, because (in famous words), it's a known unknown - or even an unknown unknown - but when would Saddam have been ready to attack the west, if left to his own devices?

Sometimes leaders have to stand up for what they believe our freedom needs, whether or not the leader falls because of that decision. Blair did that.

Has it ever crossed your mind that deciding NOT to go to war can also have "unintended consequences"?

http://keeptonyblairforpm.wordpress.com

Ivor Cornish (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 09:34

How did you get through it?

I did not have the stomach to watch this.

We have seen enough of this man in action over the years to be able to make a judgement,.

I doubt if a series of programs where he is interviewed by a keen supporter will tell us any more about this congenital self-deluder.

David Aaronovitch (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 17:36

Well, Anthony, I thought, "I felt slightly soiled, contaminated even, as if the mere act of my watching was a form of collaboration with the odious atmosphere of bad faith and dishonesty. The programme started and ended with clear falsehoods..." was pretty bilious, espeically since, as you have now admitted, you have no idea whether the Bof E thing was a falsehood, but simply decided yourself that it was. As to the Lebanon, in programme 3, as I said, you will see that the progarmme-makers did not consider the issue to be minor, and nor did Blair. Who, just incidentally, did NOT refuse to make the call for an immediate ceasefire to oblige Bush, but because he thought it would effectively give conmfort to Hezbullah.

I am flattered for my voice to confused with that of actor Matthew McFadyen, and - as to your last red herring - Blair had NO editorial input whatsoever.

And that is what is wrong with your stuff, like Oborne's - the constant assumption that the person you disagree with must be, in some way, crooked.

Cheers,

David

keeptonyblairforpm (not verified) said:

Tue, 2007-11-20 12:07

I am always amazed at the "fly on the wall" deep, unquestionable understanding and, in fact, knowledge of all the facts claimed by those who I still see as having a personal hatred for Mr Blair.

I've never understood this for two reasons.

One, they were NOT there at every discussion, so are only using personal judgements to back up their own conclusions and prejudices. Human judgement is flimsy in the absence of ALL the facts, such as evidenced by the WMDs conundrum and the Honours nonsense.

These 'opinions' come from the heart, as it were, not the head. The naysayers will never admit this. Recently I have seen links online to an article by David (Times ) I think where the linking site has changed the title from - Blair: "I supported war" to "I wanted war". Misleading, dissembling possibly?

I frequently do admit that I do NOT know for sure, in my thoughts on Tony Blair. I may be wrong, but I feel deeply that he is NOT a bad man to be reviled and done down in any way possible. In fact I think he's a great man.

Two, why do people in our free democracies feel the need to HATE our politicians anyway? True, there are a few I dislike, but I don't go about dreaming of them with a rope around their necks. Evidenced by my recent forays around the internet, Blair would be getting off lightly if he came to such a speedy end!

We really need to step back and look at the alternatives to democracy. With your Charter 88 credentials, Anthony, I'd have thought you feel this instinctively. (Btw, I too was a member once.)

At least we DO have the ability to rid ourselves of troublesome and unpopular politicians without a bloody coup.

As for the BoE question. Prefaced by - I was not there so I do not know - you will know that from 1994 to 1998/9 Blair was in deep discussions with Paddy Ashdown over coalition/merger possibilities. Brown was NOT on board for this. He, with Prescott, was against.

Strangely, Brown wanted to bring the Lib Dems onside on his elevation to the premiership. Funny that: Blair wanted it when he had the largest majority that his party had EVER had; Brown wanted it when he needed to be sure of some, ANY majority after the next election.

The visionary versus the expedient?

The point about Ashdown is that here I believe Blair had a soulmate that he did NOT have in his own party. I happen to know that Liberal Democrat policy even before 1994, was for the independence of the Bank of England. Not hearsay, I KNOW that one.

Is it not possible that Blair absorbed that thought through his conversations with Ashdown or even through simple observation of the Lib Dems prior to 1992? Also, if we step back for a moment, is it not more like a Blair policy than a Brown one? Blair the decentraliser or Brown the controller? Just a thought.

And the thought that Blair is now claiming the BoE independence in order to claim ownership of a 'successful economy' - well, watch this space.

As to your argument with David on the Lebanon question - I have taped the programme, so will check it out later. I too made quick notes, and have scribbled nothing about the Lebanon.

And we really need to see the wider picture in which national leaders operate. Nothing Blair could have said at that time would have made any difference to Israel, but might have mad a huge difference to the MEPP which had stalled for six years or more. Blair had wanted it to restart since before Iraq. There are many alliances and relationships to consider. Grandstanding to get plaudits from the narrow minded is, and should be, beneath such as a PM of this country.

I've written my own thoughts on David's programme, to be found here, if you're interested.

http://keeptonyblairforpm.wordpress.com/2007/11/19/blair-years-brown-the-adolescent-son-just-glared/

David Aaronovitch (not verified) said:

Tue, 2007-11-20 06:52

Well, before I outstay my welcome, having (I must assume) reassured you on most points, let me just re-deal with your last outstanding objection. You claim, citing no evidence whatsoever, that Blair's suggestion that he supported BofE independence in principle from the time that he was a junior Opposition Treasury spokesman, is a "falsehood". I put it to you directly, how do you know this? All the stuff about the inflation range is beside the point, since Blair made no claims about that.

Cheers,

David

Blair Years: “Brown (the adolescent son) Just (not verified) said:

Tue, 2007-11-20 12:40

[...] An interesting debate between Anthony Barnett & Aaronovitch - you can contribute if it’s s... [...]

ourkingdom (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 17:07

The comment from David Aaronovitch. Thanks for coming back. The credits I saw suggested you did write the presentation, ie the linking words, and speak them. If not, who did? I've tried to find out on the BBC website but can't locate the programme credits. If Blair himself was in control we should have been told. I'm sure I heard the words I quoted in reference to the Lebanon and the leadership crisis, as I wrote them down while watching.

I didn't just "flay" the programme, I wrote "But on second thoughts, the fact that this film presented the case for Blair was very revealing indeed". Isn't that a compliment?

I'm confident Bank of England independence was a Balls/Brown project, I'm sure Blair supported it. The evidence could prove me wrong.

But I'm most struck by being told to marinade in my own bile. No, David, what I wrote is not "just hatred" it's an argument. Dismissing a serious writer, whose new book sets out an important case, as "hence the Oborne" as if he is not a man - now that is hateful.

Anthony

Chris Paul (not verified) said:

Wed, 2007-11-21 09:09

David must be mightily unimpressed with his old school's wiki which fails to list him as an important alumnus. He may also remember charging about as a spoiling flanker in a tankie top.

BlairSupporter (not verified) said:

Mon, 2007-11-19 13:57

Your hatred clouds your judgement.

To quote you, as above, as far as your analysis is concerned ...

What a load of b*ll**ks

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