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Does Britain need a population policy? by Alasdair Murray, CentreForum

22 - 01 - 2008
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Jon Bright reviews: Does Britain need a population policy? by Alasdair Murray of CentreForum.

Alasdair Murray dissects and demystifies the immigration debate, and shows why we need a policy of decentralisation to fix the problems of immigration.

As the UN reports that 190 million people now live outside of their country of origin, and net immigration into Britain rises to record levels as the Maastricht treaty finally starts to bite, it seems odd to reflect that as little as 20 years ago serious discussions were held in Britain about how to increase our population. But, in a public sphere that seems happy to condemn immigrants both for taking jobs and for taking benefits, serious reflection on the controversial issues of population and immigration is often at a minimum.

This is where the merits of a third party become obvious. For the Liberal Democrats, and their leading think tank CentreForum, are the only ones talking sensibly, quietly and reflectively about when a population policy might be needed and what it might take to introduce one. This compelling, timely pamphlet is a must read for anyone who thinks "British jobs for British workers" or government controlled cuts in numbers coming in are worthwhile, let alone implementable, policies.

Murray does not romanticise immigration. Indeed he has little time for its more ephemeral traits: cultural pluralism, diversity, and the general principle of homogeneity breeding in weakness do not really get a look in. Instead, his focus is on the details of market forces, the balance sheet of immigration, as it were. He acknowledges that immigration is placing a strain on public services: Britain's population density ranks 51st in the world - and in the South East and North West, it is much higher. But his dissection of the failure of public services to cope is telling:

these problems are fundamentally the result of an overly centralised state and would (and did) exist without large scale immigration. Immigrants pay taxes and are also widely employed in the public sector, in areas such as the health service or the care of elderly people. They do not, therefore, contribute to an overall resource shortage. The core problem is the slow and inflexible system of resource allocation.

He goes on to argue for increased powers of revenue raising for local councils, particularly local income taxes, which would see them immediately benefit from newly employed immigrants.

Just as he does not romanticise it, Murray is not blinded by its size either. Britain is experiencing unprecendented immigration in particular because the Maastricht treaty has created a large volume of people who are able to immigrate here, and whose standard of living will improve significantly if they do. But, by 2011, all EU countries will be required to adopt the same immigration procedures as ours. Britain will then not be the only option available to economic migrants from Eastern Europe (along with Ireland and Sweden) - indeed, due to its geographical location, it will be one of the least convenient.

Most penetrating is Murray's analysis of the politics of the situation this creates. Both Brown and Cameron's promises to moderate immigration are vague in specifics. To implement in practice would require reversing out of EU agreements, and imposing various sorts of draconian controls, to the dismay of business confederations. They are, in short, unlikely to come to anything much.

Instead Murray foresees a future where, post 2011, immigration tails off naturally, as France and Germany open their borders and existing controls begin to function more reliably with practice. The victor of the 2010 election will probably be able to claim success in reducing immigration, whilst quietly allowing any extravagant promises of controls to drop. It is an injustice typical of our electoral system that the third party is the one most able to say this, and least able to benefit.

 

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Courtney Hamilton (not verified) said:

Fri, 2008-01-25 14:51

Population control is a rubbish idea - it is blatantly obvious why 'net immigration into Britain rises to record levels' in recent times - this is because Britain in the past have adopted a more draconian closed door policy on immigration and asylum.

As for the CentreForum, they sound more like a think-tank for managerial bean-counters - freedom and liberty are nowhere to be seen and heard from them.

Nor am I convinced by the many arguments that immigration constitutes a social 'problem' - no, from where I am standing, it is the non-existent defense of freedom and liberty that is the 'problem' here.

CentreForum argues on its website that they 'intend to set out a confident, forward looking agenda that champions the free movement of goods, capital, services and people'. They should have been more honest with themselves and its readers, and argued, that they will 'champion the cause of the free movement of goods, capital and services, however, when it comes to people, there is a big 'but' involved'.

Champions of the 'free movement' of people? My arse.

the optimum population trust blog » Does Brit (not verified) said:

Tue, 2008-01-22 16:55

[...] Continue reading… [...]

Lee Griffin (not verified) said:

Tue, 2008-01-22 17:19

Excellent read, I hadn't heard about the 2011 date for other EU nations. That would surely put a stopper in the mouths of those that forecast uncontrollable rises in immigration for years and years to come. I have heard the arguments about the need for more flexibility and funding for services though, it's a shame that no politician will publicly stand up and say this sort of thing for fear of losing votes for their party though.

ourkingdom (not verified) said:

Fri, 2008-01-25 15:41

I think that's unfair Courtney - or you have got the wrong end of the stick. CentreForum are arguing AGAINST the idea of a population policy and for the free movement of people. They quite often publish and work with Phillippe Legrain, for example, who is for completely open borders!

http://www.philippelegrain.com/

Jon

Courtney Hamilton (not verified) said:

Fri, 2008-01-25 17:40

Thanks for you reply - however, after re-reading the CentreForum's document, I am still not convinced that the think-tank is not wholeheartedly the 'champion' of the free movement of people as it boldly claims to be.

The CentreForum's reservations about their desire for a 'population policy' is not one based on a matter of principle - far from it, its 'opposition' appears to be based on the premise that there is no 'sound evidence' that exists at present for the need of a population policy - but, that could change - and so too would the think-tank's reservations.

At present, CentreForum has no reservations about British immigration controls that impose tight restrictions on the freedom of movement on people from outside the EU (even on some within the EU like Romanians & Bulgarians). Indeed, the think-tank argues that 'effective and proportionate immigration controls... will remain necessary'. And why may I ask? On the spurious grounds of 'security'.

Having said that, if indeed, the CentreForum are actually arguing against a population policy - then they should be commended. However, their opposition should be a matter of political principle, rather than being guided by managerial bean-counting expediency.

Conall (not verified) said:

Fri, 2008-01-25 22:45

Let's be crystal clear, firstly we are in favour of people's rights to travel and work where they wish to; secondly we do not want draconian Chinese-style 1-child only coercion. That said it is I think reasonable to ask: If there are large numbers of *our* people 'on the sick' (2.7 mn I believe) should we be pleased that a similar number of Poles happily fill and work hard at low-paid jobs? What's our country for, if not our own people? So why not put up minimum wage, and keep putting it up until a balance is struck. Anathema to the bosses, but they are the ones profiting (and who seem to pull all the strings of government). Birth limitation? Let women choose, I mean really freely choose. Let women have education, equality etc (good in themselves) and we soon get Italian levels of birthrates.

An Optimum Population Policy leading to a less crowded country does not have to be nasty, domineering, censorious. It can and should be about liberating, encouraging, bettering our people, all of our people.

Alasdair Murray (not verified) said:

Wed, 2008-01-23 15:58

Jon,

Thanks for the very generous review. With hindsight (this was written before Christmas) I think I should have also placed greater emphasis on the strength of UK economy and the pound which makes sterling such an attractive currency for immigrants to be paid in.

There was a very interesting article in the Telegraph last week which pointed out that there had been a 35 per cent depreciation in the pound versus the Polish Zloty, radically reducing the benefits of working here. As a result, I suspect this whole debate will look very different by the end of the decade - but whoever is in government will be able to try and claim 'success' in reducing immigration even if tighter controls have done very little...

Sarah (not verified) said:

Tue, 2008-01-22 20:37

And we'll have infinite supplies of water, power, land etc miraculously appearing out of nowhere.

I find it fascinating that our third party goes on about green issues and banning petrol driven cars, thinks nothing of cramming more and more people who all use electricity, water, fuel, transport and need somewhere to live into an already pretty highly populated state but then that would be too much like joined up thinking.

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